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Technology Sector Review: 4/23/25
Baby Steps: Technicians for one thing judge a healthy market by how many breakouts are not only occurring, but more importantly how they are acting POST breakout. We know the best ones tend to work right away and follow through, and this behavior has been non-existent as of late. Could that be changing with Tuesday's break above a double bottom trigger just below the very round 1000 number? We will find out how it finishes the week over the next few sessions. Remember we looked at PLTR and it was able to CLOSE above its 98.27 double bottom pivot just one session but today completed a handle on that base and can be added to or initiated with a buy stop above a 99.09 trigger. CRWD has vacillated between the very round 300 and 400 numbers but has shied away from its attempted break above a double bottom trigger of 392.79. Will the third time be the charm for a legitimate breakout for NFLX? It is possible fledging breakouts will gain more confidence and take their cue from it but that remains to be seen. PRICE must confirm but Tuesday was a good start. Tuesday was a nice CLOSE above the pivot although it CLOSED off intraday highs. Lets circle back on this one at the end of this week.
Consumer Sector Review: 4/22/25
Start Your Engines: Earnings season will start coming into hot and heavy after the banks kicked off the festivities recently, and perhaps there will be nothing more anticipated than TSLA tomorrow after the CLOSE. The CEO has been devoting almost all of his time away from the company and that may be reflected in the PRICE action following. Below is the daily chart and one can see the bear flag, and Monday has now filled in the gap from the session 4 times, and if a stock gives you multiple chances to get in at a specific location that will often play out soon as a bull trap. Of course, with earnings Tuesday afternoon, I would never endorse blindly putting on a position and the WEEKLY chart has a mixed look with two bullish hammers followed by a couple of bullish inverted hammers and then a bullish engulfing candle during the 5 weeks ending between 3/14-4/11. This all happened while retesting a bullish inverse head and shoulders formation. The MONTHLY failure to break above a 414.60 cup base pivot that started with the doji candle in November 2021 (bounced precisely off the very round par number in January 2023) last December and this January was foreshadowing the recent weakness.
Financial Sector Review: 4/21/25
O Canada: In this note we go around the world looking at banking plays from Japan, India, and Colombia, and many of our domesic names, but with our neighbor to the North their is a clear outlier since the start of 2025. The performance chart here measuring the returns of the larger banks shows TD almost climbing above the top of the chart and it is the only one of the quartet in positive ground, and doing so by double digits and sporting an attractive dividend yield of almost 5%. On the longer term MONTHLY timeframe this name has a nice technical look below, riding its 50 MONTH SMA and for the last 3 years plus has been absorbing the big move between March 2020-February 2022 that rose 179%. This should feel a gravitational pull toward the cup base pivot of 70.71 in the near term and a break above there would carry a measured move to the very round 90 number. Peering at the DAILY chart there area few things to admire. First it is currently shrugging off the doji candle from 3/25, it completed a bullish island reversal with the gap up on (after the gap down 4/4) Monday, and is outshining the XLF since last December.