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Latest From The Blog

Energy Sector Review: 5/10/21

Friday|0 Comments

Services Skyrocket: Last week in our energy note we drew up a ratio chart of the XOP against the OIH, and we pondered if it was a double top for the exploration names against the equipment. If this week was any indication, that double top will be long lasting and equipment should outperform. This is not a knock on the XOP. This is just an under-owned overall energy space, and both are on fire. Remember ratio charts compare one instrument to another and gives an assessment of which should be overweighted against the other. It does not mean one is weak, in fact, both are very deserving of your capital. This past week the OIH screamed higher by 19%, its best WEEKLY gain since the week ending 6/5/20 (the next 3 weeks gave that entire move back). The XOP was no slouch either jumping 8%. The good old days of SLB HAL and NOV are back. The latter name has jumped 40% since 4/21. Any pullback in these names should be taken advantage of.

Consumer Sector Review: 5/7/21

Thursday|0 Comments

Consumer Apprehension: When it comes to the 2 retail ETFs there is really no comparison. The XRT or more "equal weight" fund with no single holding of more than 1.3% has advanced 46% YTD and by 158% over the last one-year period. Compare that to the top-heavy XLY, where nearly HALF of the ETF is made of from its top 3 holdings in AMZN TSLA and HD. Of course, Amazon reported earnings, and was up about 4% after hours last Thursday, before CLOSING Friday in the red, with a bearish engulfing candle at all-time highs. Last week's highs to lows Thursday morning was a range of 300 handles. TSLA is now 26% off most recent 52 week highs, and HD has been acting stellar breaking above a bull flag. The softness of AMZN and TSLA is showing in the returns, although likable, up 9% YTD and 55% over the last one-year period, it pales in comparison to the XRT. If one is trading the ETFs I prefer the XRT as it is just below a bullish ascending triangle pivot, while the XLY has the look of a bull flag, that aligned with the round 180 number, which is getting long in the tooth.

Industrial Sector Review: 5/6/21

Wednesday|0 Comments

Industrial Influence: The industrial group, via the XLI, is now the 4th best major S&P sector performer on a YTD basis. The ETF is higher by more than 17% in 2021, and it has been helped primarily by heavy construction with the anticipation of an infrastructure bill, which truth be told has fallen on deaf ears. For the week the fund has advanced by nearly 2%, and if it ends the week on a positive note it will register a 7-week winning streak. The prior 6 weeks all CLOSED at the top of their WEEKLY ranges, and in fact, all WEEKLY gainers since the beginning of last December have done so as well. Some names within the group that look like they are ready to accelerate higher are GVA, and Wednesdays break above a bullish ascending triangle pivot of 41 carries a measured move to 48. ACM is edging above a bull flag pivot of 68, which would carries a measured move to 76. CRH, an Irish materials name is flirting with the very round 50 number here. The group seems to be firing on all cylinders at the moment.

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