Chartsmarter Insights

30 May 2020

Discretionary Sector Review: 6/1/20

By |2020-05-30T07:58:34-04:00Saturday|

Bullish Digestion: The name Amazon has stoked fear in most retailers, and below shows why with firm PRICE action. In my opinion this stock is just an own play for the long term, much like AAPL, and probably one not to trade around too much. On the WEEKLY chart below one could see the presence of a couple bull traps. First was the move in February through a bullish ascending triangle that formed in conjunction with the very round 2000 number. Then the week ending 5/22 recorded a reversal after breaking above a bull flag pattern intraweek. This past week registered a bearish hanging man candle, but one has to admire the very tight trade following the 6 week winning streak, between weeks ending 3/20-4/24 which rose 51.3% from top to bottom. Friday ended a 5 session losing streak, with 4 of the 5 days CLOSING right near lows for the daily range. This is a name to watch closely for its impact on not only the XLY, but its huge influence upon the major benchmarks as well. At the present moment the way it is trading tells me, good things are still on the way.

28 May 2020

Gap Fills

By |2020-05-29T09:03:13-04:00Thursday|

Gap fills are a widely known strategy in the market that can be applied on both the upside and downside. The strategy is basically self explanatory, and gaps that fill to the downside after a very strong move gives investors good risk/reward to open a position. A gap is simply a pocket of air, in between two different time periods on a stock chart. It is very likely to be following an earnings release, potential takeover news, etc. Often after a gap fill, one will see a powerful intraday reversal, so one should be ready to pounce with a limit order to take advantage of the situation. 

28 May 2020

Round Number Theory

By |2020-05-29T09:10:11-04:00Thursday|

Round number theory is one that is under followed, and not given the credit it deserves. It is a simple, yet effective tool that can help investors trim or add to core positions. The round figures often will serve as support, or a roadblock. Some round figures are more important than others. First time trading above 10 can give a stock a boost, as some mutual funds are not permitted to own single digit names. The 90 number is very important, as many studies have shown that the first time a stock trades through that level it very often trades to par and beyond. Whether the reason that round number theory works is psychological or not, it does not matter. Follow PRICE action first and foremost. Below let us take a look at some more examples.

28 May 2020

Bull Flag

By |2020-05-29T08:55:45-04:00Thursday|

The bull flag formation is a continuation pattern, that forms during an uptrend. Keep in mind leading stocks, will offer investors a chance to add to them on the way UP. The pattern forms after a sustained move higher, and then the stock digests the strong advance, with very taut sideways action. Generally one does not want to see the flag last more than 3 weeks. It is considered very bullish as the stock is stubborn to not give anything back following a powerful rise. The breakout occurs when the stock breaks above the top of the flag, preferably in firm volume. The measured move would be the length of the flag "pole", added to the breakout PRICE. What better way is there to learn than to look at a few recent examples.

28 May 2020

Cup With Handle

By |2020-05-29T09:07:14-04:00Thursday|

The cup with handle pattern is probably one of the most recognized and familiar chart patterns out there. It is a formation that comes from its name, and should be a long rounded pattern, as V shaped patterns are a bit more failure prone. The depth of the cup should be no more than 50% top to bottom. The handle on the cup base resembles a bull flag or pennant, as it will tilt downward and form well into the upper half of the cup. Generally speaking one wants to witness a slowing of volume within the handle, as sellers become reluctant to part with their shares. The breakout occurs with a move above the handle, as always preferably on stronger than normal daily volume.